Wind Astra ClericTier 2
at Michigan HVN Regionals
Pilot Skill · average
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Fractal | 18.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 39.5% | -16.7 |
| Fire Aggro | 12.2% | 3 | 1-1-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.2% | +0.1 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 9.8% | 3 | 1-1-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.5% | -0.3 |
| Wind Allies | 8.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Genbu | 7.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 55.2% | +8.3 |
| Fire Suzaku | 6.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Mage | 3.7% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 45.5% | -7.1 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 3.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 2.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Luxem Assassin | 2.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Overlord | 2.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Luxem Zander | 2.4% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 42.4% | -12.2 |
| Wind Slice & Dice | 2.4% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 36.8% | -21.1 |
| Dawn of Ashes | 1.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Arcane | 1.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Cinderbloom Combo | 1.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 1.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Kongming | 1.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Overlord | 1.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Seiryuu | 1.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 1.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Seiryuu | 1.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Slimes | 1.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Dawn of Ashes | 1.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Penguin Mill | 1.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 1.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Umbra Ranger | 1.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Umbra Tristan | 1.2% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 46.0% | -6.3 |
Decklists · 2 from this event
The 2 public Wind Astra Cleric decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
Mirror Analysis
In 1 mirror match, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 1 mirror is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.
No card differed in at least 3 of the 1 mirror we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.
Show all 28 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 28 held back from the grid above)
| Card | Edge | In winner | In loser | Same | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mnemonic Charm | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Viridian Protective Trinket | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Astral Seal | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Fragmented Spirit of Wind | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Stifling Trap | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Spellshield: Astra | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Coronation Ceremony | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Dawn's Reversal | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Beseech the Winds | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Gentle Respite | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Guan Yu, Prime Exemplar | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Nullifying Lantern | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Harvest Herbs | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Meteor Strike | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Regenerate | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Fertile Grounds | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Ingredient Pouch | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Arrow Trap | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Spirit of Fortuitous Wind | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Tariff Ring | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Spirit of Serene Wind | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Zephyr | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Nascent Barrier | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Potion of Healing | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Indolent Leisure | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Cometfall | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Annul Spell | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Horticounter | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 |